Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.106595 0.126361 0.148486 0.175043 0.206014 0.240949 0.283301
2025-02-02 0.076782 0.102423 0.134358 0.176875 0.231795 0.300128 0.391356
2025-02-09 0.059063 0.086522 0.123724 0.177413 0.252442 0.353022 0.497411
2025-02-16 0.048004 0.076070 0.116855 0.179770 0.273537 0.407066 0.610282
2025-02-23 0.041205 0.069903 0.114211 0.186576 0.300490 0.471195 0.744015
2025-03-02 0.033477 0.060551 0.104786 0.180965 0.307084 0.505112 0.836020
2025-03-09 0.028521 0.054685 0.099680 0.180957 0.321725 0.552118 0.952583
2025-03-16 0.024134 0.048912 0.093641 0.178150 0.330822 0.590534 1.058739
2025-03-23 0.021549 0.045939 0.091954 0.182495 0.352390 0.651558 1.208715
2025-03-30 0.018644 0.041783 0.087368 0.180699 0.362415 0.693280 1.329103
2025-04-06 0.015954 0.037544 0.081916 0.176331 0.366830 0.725019 1.434337
2025-04-13 0.013588 0.033545 0.076286 0.170700 0.367869 0.750247 1.529582
2025-04-20 0.012332 0.031850 0.075298 0.174690 0.389012 0.816735 1.711972
2025-04-27 0.011110 0.030011 0.073728 0.177243 0.407588 0.880352 1.895833
2025-05-04 0.009921 0.028015 0.071479 0.177939 0.422239 0.937519 2.072529
2025-05-11 0.008991 0.026493 0.070080 0.180337 0.440828 1.004598 2.276172
2025-05-18 0.008413 0.025793 0.070546 0.187170 0.470188 1.097344 2.542827
2025-05-25 0.007276 0.023309 0.066156 0.181544 0.469937 1.125762 2.673519
2025-06-01 0.006544 0.021840 0.064137 0.181536 0.482989 1.184902 2.877491
2025-06-08 0.005788 0.020134 0.061203 0.178721 0.488773 1.227992 3.049295
2025-06-15 0.005389 0.019454 0.060983 0.183079 0.513044 1.316348 3.333405
2025-06-22 0.004820 0.018104 0.058638 0.181278 0.521235 1.367279 3.534376
2025-06-29 0.004240 0.016586 0.055541 0.176897 0.522059 1.400364 3.695688